Friday, May 16, 2008

Health care: How do we pay for it?

Some folks say, "why are we talking about health insurance rather than health care?" The problem is simple: we have to pay for health care somehow. It isn't free. It doesn't grow on trees. Someone has to pay for it.

The problem is that health care currently takes 15% of the U.S. GDP, but sick people do not make 15% of the U.S. GDP. So requiring sick people to pay the full costs of health care is impossible -- you cannot pour ten gallons of dollar bills out of a five-gallon bucket. Thus health insurance -- paying the costs of the health care system today, so that it is available to you when you get sick tomorrow.

The problem with health insurance is that the current situation, where we have three different health insurance systems -- one for those who qualify for government insurance (Medicare, Medicaid, VA, etc.), one for those who qualify for private insurance, and one (or rather lack of one) for those who are uninsured -- is not working. The government insurance programs account for 50% of the U.S. health care spending but are being cut back to the point where doctors and hospitals are refusing to see those patients, and because only poor people (for the most part) qualify for those programs (other than Medicare), the people getting these services don't have sufficient political clout to assure sufficient funding.

The problem with the private insurance part of the equation is that private health insurance is becoming unavailable for increasing numbers of Americans, both because of cost and because insurance companies simply won't write insurance for large groups of people. Insurance companies today are in a death spiral of increasing costs and decreasing participation. To counter that, they keep kicking sick or potentially sick people out. If you forbid them from doing so, they must raise their rates even more, and even more people become uninsured.

Finally, there are the uninsured. First of all, what little health care the uninsured get in emergency rooms is generally being paid for by the insured, causing the price of private health insurance to go up, causing more uninsured, causing the health insurance death spiral to become even worse. And generally if someone who is uninsured becomes seriously ill, he or she is dead. Hospitals and doctors will not provide surgical care for those who require, e.g., a kidney transplant in order to live, and the uninsured have no way to pay for long term care such as kidney dialysis. Even insulin for diabetes, hardly the most high-tech or deadly of illnesses, is hard to come by for the uninsured, one lady of my acquaintance had to make the rounds of various charities every month to round up enough insulin to survive another month, which became even more difficult once she lost her eyesight due to the disease not being properly managed due to lack of consistent monitoring by a medical professional. The problem is that we still provide acute care in emergency rooms -- i.e., we keep them from dying -- but we don't provide long term care to keep the uninsured healthy. This has two problems. First one is social -- people do not willingly accept a death penalty for something not under their control, and the result is social unrest and disorder. The second is that, by providing a reservoir of disease carriers in the population and then providing just enough care to kick back a disease but not cure it, we're causing the creation of drug-resistant diseases that soon enough will start killing the insured as well as the uninsured.

In the end, the only way to fund health care in a way that guarantees that some level of health care will always be available as needed is if everybody pays. Everybody benefits from health care, after all, even those who are currently well will become sick at some point in the future and will require it. We can call it a "health care tax", a "Medicare payroll deduction", or an "insurance fee" (if we adopt a Swiss-style mandate system), but whatever we call it, everybody benefits from having health care available to them when they need it, so everybody should pay. Whether it is a Medicare For All scheme paid for via an increase of the Medicare payroll tax that guarantees that all Americans can participate in Medicare, or whether it is a "don't call it a health care tax" mandate that all Americans purchase health insurance (and regulation of said health insurers to make sure that they are paying for the care they're supposed to pay for), any insurance scheme that does not require all people to pay into the funding pool ends up with a lot of dead people, in the end. That's just how the economics works out -- as we're finding out, slowly but surely. This is simple math in the end, like 1+1. And 1+1 always equals 2 no matter how much we'd like it to be 3, or 5, or something else entirely. The answer always comes out the same -- unless everybody pays, a bunch of people end up dying.

-- Badtux the Health Care Penguin

6 comments:

  1. Well, we could consider Live Organ Transplants, which has the potential to both lower the cost of transplants and thinning the herd.

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  2. You've been reading Larry Niven again, haven't you?

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  3. Hello, Mr Penguin.
    I'm confused.

    A lot of the health care crisis comes from the fact that Americans spend more on health care than any other country on earth.
    A lot of that comes from the fact that Americans are the most medicated population of any country on earth.
    And the rate of per capita prescriptions has been skyrocketing.

    Something that just won't change:
    There's only so sick you can get, and then you die.

    But Americans are lazy and indulgent. Then comes the sense of entitlement.
    Why go through the bother of a healthy lifestyle change when you could just take a pill instead? For the next 24 years. And then keep taking it.

    Along with the debate on health care, we should also be having a discussion on who it is that needs so much medicine that it would be in the interest of society if they were to
    just
    drop
    dead.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Ok let's see... after 17 years of dialysis and 3 kidney transplants under my belt, if I were an American, I'd be dead right now.... but on the bright side after waiting for 7 months, I'm finally getting my knee-replacement surgery!!!! ;-) I should be grateful that I'm living in Canada, right?

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  5. Sorry, PT, the U.S. does not spend more on health care than the rest of the world. The U.S. spends more on the HEALTH CARE SYSTEM than anyone else in the world -- and it is clear, comparing the efficiencies of the Medicare system vs. private insurance, that the deliberate inefficiencies of the private insurance system (deliberate in that they require doctors to pay for astoundingly expensive billing software and have full-time staff who do nothing but hound private insurers for payment), combined with the howling inefficiency of 10% of the population being forced to rely on emergency rooms for all their health care, account for most of that. If you are talking about expenditures for medical equipment, expenditures for hospital operation, the U.S. is below most Western nations now, and on doctor's salaries the U.S. is still #1 but only because of expensive specialists -- family physicians now are worse-paid in the United States than in virtually every other Western nation, with resulting shortages of family doctors everywhere but in major immigration centers such as the SF Bay Area (where there is no shortage of family doctors, but you better speak Hindi or Tamil and be willing to trust the training given to them by the Indian Institute of Medical Training And Auto Repair).

    There is one exception where the U.S. *does* spend more than everybody else, and that is end-life care. But that is paid for by Medicare for the most part, so that's not what causes the cost of all other medical care to be so expensive. It's just a fact that modern medical technology is expensive, which is why it's worrisome that the U.S. is closing hospitals and reducing access to modern medical technology at the same time that its population is growing.

    As for the notion that some people should just decide to die -- well, maybe. But then you get the problem that medically assisted suicide is illegal in most of the United States, and most folks don't want to die in a horrible or painful manner. You'll have to eliminate Big Brother's meddling in the private relationship between patient and doctor to have a chance of this happening more often, right now doctors can be charged with murder if they provide sick people with the ability to stop their suffering in a humane manner.

    Nancy: Yes, you should be glad you're in Canada. Indeed, the only reason I haven't applied for Canadian immigration is perversity and the forlorn hope that California's next government will actually pass the single-payer law that's been vetoed by the Governator every year since he took office...

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  6. I lived in the UK for many years and I absolutely *loved* the National Health system. The Brits bitch about it all the time, but then again they haven't experienced the wonderful system we have over here.

    We don't need mandatory health insurance, we need guaranteed health care and we should *all* pay towards it.

    As you point out, it will cost us all less money (and less death) in the big picture scheme of things. But I fear it will take another pandemic to get people motivated in that direction...

    ReplyDelete

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